Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.019139 0.020538 0.021989 0.023609 0.025368 0.027221 0.029324
2026-02-08 0.016575 0.018558 0.020718 0.023251 0.026147 0.029363 0.033216
2026-02-15 0.014962 0.017282 0.019900 0.023087 0.026876 0.031255 0.036726
2026-02-22 0.013711 0.016235 0.019167 0.022843 0.027355 0.032745 0.039719
2026-03-01 0.012746 0.015414 0.018589 0.022675 0.027828 0.034164 0.042618
2026-03-08 0.011939 0.014707 0.018073 0.022503 0.028230 0.035454 0.045365
2026-03-15 0.011349 0.014217 0.017774 0.022555 0.028878 0.037046 0.048549
2026-03-22 0.010769 0.013697 0.017394 0.022457 0.029292 0.038321 0.051345
2026-03-29 0.010276 0.013255 0.017079 0.022410 0.029749 0.039645 0.054252
2026-04-05 0.009807 0.012816 0.016737 0.022294 0.030086 0.040798 0.056956
2026-04-12 0.009436 0.012485 0.016517 0.022322 0.030605 0.042211 0.060091
2026-04-19 0.009144 0.012244 0.016402 0.022481 0.031304 0.043899 0.063707
2026-04-26 0.008720 0.011815 0.016024 0.022272 0.031496 0.044909 0.066450
2026-05-03 0.008276 0.011339 0.015560 0.021917 0.031457 0.045577 0.068716
2026-05-10 0.007928 0.010982 0.015246 0.021761 0.031695 0.046663 0.071692
2026-05-17 0.007586 0.010616 0.014899 0.021533 0.031803 0.047540 0.074368
2026-05-24 0.007289 0.010303 0.014612 0.021375 0.032003 0.048560 0.077325
2026-05-31 0.007011 0.010005 0.014335 0.021215 0.032184 0.049545 0.080272
2026-06-07 0.006809 0.009810 0.014199 0.021264 0.032692 0.051078 0.084240
2026-06-14 0.006582 0.009568 0.013982 0.021172 0.032962 0.052224 0.087595
2026-06-21 0.006382 0.009357 0.013802 0.021128 0.033304 0.053500 0.091251
2026-06-28 0.006177 0.009132 0.013590 0.021020 0.033529 0.054581 0.094613
2026-07-05 0.006016 0.008968 0.013465 0.021046 0.033976 0.056062 0.098801